OKTAVIA TANTIO, NADYA (2024) PENERAPAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN TREND PROJECTION DALAM MEMPREDIKSI JUMLAH PESERTA DIDIK BARU DI SMA YPIS MAJU BINJAI DAN SMA TAMAN SISWA BINJAI. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS MALIKUSSALEH.

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Abstract

ABSTRAK Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk meramalkan peserta didik baru dalam tahun kedepan. Data di kumpulkan melalui wawancara mandalam, observasi dan dokumentasi. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif.Peramalan adalah memperkirakan nilai pada objek tertentu di masa depan dengan memperhatikan data masa lalu. Peramalan ini menggunakan metode Double Exponential Smoothing dan Trend Projection. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memprediksi jumlah siswa di SMA YPIS Maju Binjai dan SMA Taman Siswa Binjai berdasarkan data yang di peroleh dari tahun 2019 – 2022. Peramalan ini di lakukan dengan menggunakan metode Double Exponential Smoothing dan Trend Projection.Berdasarkan hasil dari perhitungan kedua metode menunjukkan bahwa metode Trend Projection lebih baik dalam memprediksi jumlah siswa baru di bandingkan Double Exponential Smoothing. Kata Kunci : Sekolah Menengah Atas (SMA), Peramalan, Peserta Didik, Double Exponential Smoothing , Trend Projection. ABSTRACT This study aims to forecast new learners in the next year. Data was collected through internal interviews, observation and documentation. This research uses quantitative methods. Forecasting is estimating the value on a particular object in the future by paying attention to past data. This forecasting uses Double Exponential Smoothing and Trend Projection methods. This study aims to predict the number of students at SMA YPIS Maju Binjai and SMA Taman Siswa Binjai based on data obtained from 2019 – 2022. This forecasting is done using the Double Exponential Smoothing and Trend Projection methods. Based on the results of the calculations, both methods show that the Trend Projection method is better at predicting the number of new students than Double Exponential Smoothing. Keywords : Senior High School, Forecasting, Students, Double Exponential Smoothing, Trend Projection.

Item Type: Thesis (S1)
Subjects: T Technology > T Technology (General)
Divisions: Fakultas Teknik > 57201 - Jurusan Sistem Informasi
Depositing User: Nadya Oktavia Tantio
Date Deposited: 18 Mar 2024 02:41
Last Modified: 18 Mar 2024 02:41
URI: https://rama.unimal.ac.id/id/eprint/1545

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